Subnets / SN6
Numinous SN6
Numinous (subnet 6) is a Bittensor subnet held by 2,059 unique coldkeys. Its liquidity pool holds 7.2k τ, with the alpha token trading at 0.0021 τ. Roughly 0% of tracked holders are in profit — most bought in above today's price. Seller exhaustion is elevated: 92% of recent sellers have emptied their wallets, thinning the supply overhang. Full insider flow, whale tracking and the complete proprietary factor set for Numinous are available to SubnetStats subscribers.
ALPHA PRICE
0.0021 τ
IN TAO
HOLDERS
2,059
UNIQUE COLDKEYS
POOL DEPTH
7.2k τ
TAO IN POOL
7D MOMENTUM
-1.1%
ALPHA vs TAO
Project activity
Cascade + Numinous = Bittensor forecasting world model
New leaderboard is out. Track our best agents.
Today starts our open-ended forecasting competition where miners forecast the future state of a dynamic knowledge graph. First focused on the top US equities and their supply chain. Tomorrow it will also have a geopolitics graph.
Numinous-1 model is now publicly available! Both to miners and outside users. It is a SOTA predictive model in its weight class, beating other top open source forecasting models like DeepSeek and GLM.
https://t.co/KmUFThUshx
It becomes the new subnet baseline. Miners will have
The competition will go live within 2 weeks. It won't be sandbox based anymore (we want miners to be able to leverage any kind of data) and will run in parallel to the current trajectory focused competition. Miners task will be to build our mappa mundi!
https://t.co/yjfBKFKuOP
Today Numinous is releasing its impact UI!
Built from our underlying causal graph, it shows for each equities their exposures along macro and geopolitics factors, tracked by prediction markets. As the event landscape changes, your fund can track the mechanisms propagating to eq
Logarithmic pooling on our top 10 miners beats the price for the first time. 👀
Sharing that directly through API soon.
Follow the edge 👇
https://t.co/WzvW8flZZ6
Our model mapped against the forecast crowd over time. https://t.co/cJnY9PTPpS
Today Numinous is announcing its first forecasting model: Numinous-1! It’s an 8B parameter model fine-tuned over Qwen3-8B. We will make it available in the coming days.
The model was fine tuned using the best reasoning trajectories from the miners. It never sees the prices, onl
Navier Stokes fell today. What about detecting causality from correlations? Numinous might have a say about that.
We integrated a baseline forecaster to the scoring as another difficulty proxy. Along the prediction market price.
Only miners which score above the baseline are rewarded. The baseline will be continually improved based on historically best agents, in a challenger style approach
First Numinous buy-back is in!
We bought back our alpha with 4 TAO. This is 10% of the revenue we made on the Forecasting API across July and August. Expect more. 📈
Tx: https://t.co/ky6oTElS7s
Multi-horizon scoring on Numinous is live!
As time passes our confidence in the best miners compounds. 👇
https://t.co/AEyI4ag0ik
👀 find Numinous trades in the feed.
Numinous will be training its first forecasting model! We already started storing the reasoning trajectories of the agents. From search to rational. We will fine tune a small forecasting model using this data. More gradients coming soon.
The Numinous signal fast feed now tracks all the markets on polymarkets! Reach out to get live access to our websocket: sub second news feed, full polymarket coverage, market leading. 🤖
And Numinous miners will now have access to fast news on the full polymarket universe. Increa
Excited to dive into our sampling uncertainty bound! one of the two uncertainty bounds (along with the scoring uncertainty bound) architecting our scoring and complementing each other.
Sampling uncertainty defers a miner's reward until it has history; scoring uncertainty defers
https://t.co/czmn5dlMk5
The Numinous Arena is live! Frontier models vs Numinous miners.
All benchmark models use memory and the Numinous news corpus. The first point on their belief curve will appear in a week. https://t.co/htG05KqREp
Introducing multi-horizon scoring as the next frontier for the subnet agents. 👇 https://t.co/ucboVaouPW
After 2 weeks of contest, let’s look at what the top miners do! 🤖 And whether we can find separating variable among winners and losers. ⚡️
It's been 3 days since the Numinous reforecasting environment launched.
How's the Gemini miner doing ? 🤖
Difficulty-adjusted Brier 0.084 (95% CI 0.076–0.093) - rank 185/239.
Top miners: 0.039-0.05.
It also trails our house baselines (0.07).
It is early days & the CI is wid
🫡 manifesting the vision
SELLERS DRAINED
92%
28D SELLERS EMPTIED OUT
CAPITULATION
+0.63
BOUNCE COMPOSITE (z)
HEAT 7D
0.10×
VOLUME ÷ POOL DEPTH
HOLDERS IN PROFIT
0%
TRACKED WALLETS · ENTRY BELOW PRICE
WHAT'S CARRYING THE PRICE · 30DMIXEDemission rank #73 · below the bar (rank 32)
30D RETURN
-7.0%
ALPHA vs TAO
WITHOUT CHAIN BUYS
-7.0%
SAME 30 DAYS, PROTOCOL BID REMOVED
CHAIN SHARE OF BUYING
—
CHAIN BUYS vs TRADERS' NET
CHAIN BUYS / DAY
0 τ
PROTOCOL BUYING ITS ALPHA
See who's buying and selling Numinous — every trade classified miner / validator / owner / outsider, plus holder cost basis and the full 23-factor screener.
OPEN THE INSIDER TAPE →