Subnets / SN6
Numinous SN6
Numinous (subnet 6) is a Bittensor subnet held by 2,766 unique coldkeys. Its liquidity pool holds 8.1k τ, with the alpha token trading at 0.0027 τ. Roughly 0% of tracked holders are in profit — most bought in above today's price. Seller exhaustion is elevated: 92% of recent sellers have emptied their wallets, thinning the supply overhang. Full insider flow, whale tracking and the complete proprietary factor set for Numinous are available to SubnetStats subscribers.
ALPHA PRICE
0.0027 τ
IN TAO
HOLDERS
2,766
UNIQUE COLDKEYS
POOL DEPTH
8.1k τ
TAO IN POOL
7D MOMENTUM
-2.7%
ALPHA vs TAO
Project activity
Navier Stokes fell today. What about detecting causality from correlations? Numinous might have a say about that.
We integrated a baseline forecaster to the scoring as another difficulty proxy. Along the prediction market price.
Only miners which score above the baseline are rewarded. The baseline will be continually improved based on historically best agents, in a challenger style approach
First Numinous buy-back is in!
We bought back our alpha with 4 TAO. This is 10% of the revenue we made on the Forecasting API across July and August. Expect more. 📈
Tx: https://t.co/ky6oTElS7s
Multi-horizon scoring on Numinous is live!
As time passes our confidence in the best miners compounds. 👇
https://t.co/AEyI4ag0ik
👀 find Numinous trades in the feed.
Numinous will be training its first forecasting model! We already started storing the reasoning trajectories of the agents. From search to rational. We will fine tune a small forecasting model using this data. More gradients coming soon.
The Numinous signal fast feed now tracks all the markets on polymarkets! Reach out to get live access to our websocket: sub second news feed, full polymarket coverage, market leading. 🤖
And Numinous miners will now have access to fast news on the full polymarket universe. Increa
Excited to dive into our sampling uncertainty bound! one of the two uncertainty bounds (along with the scoring uncertainty bound) architecting our scoring and complementing each other.
Sampling uncertainty defers a miner's reward until it has history; scoring uncertainty defers
https://t.co/czmn5dlMk5
The Numinous Arena is live! Frontier models vs Numinous miners.
All benchmark models use memory and the Numinous news corpus. The first point on their belief curve will appear in a week. https://t.co/htG05KqREp
Introducing multi-horizon scoring as the next frontier for the subnet agents. 👇 https://t.co/ucboVaouPW
After 2 weeks of contest, let’s look at what the top miners do! 🤖 And whether we can find separating variable among winners and losers. ⚡️
It's been 3 days since the Numinous reforecasting environment launched.
How's the Gemini miner doing ? 🤖
Difficulty-adjusted Brier 0.084 (95% CI 0.076–0.093) - rank 185/239.
Top miners: 0.039-0.05.
It also trails our house baselines (0.07).
It is early days & the CI is wid
🫡 manifesting the vision
Numinous reborn. New leaderboard. New signal. https://t.co/LteGrOfbOl
Looking forward! We will present our latest macro models and talk about our plan both on the subnet and product
We laid down our vision for Numinous. Join the journey. https://t.co/VolVsT0wQE
Reforecasting is live on Numinous tomorrow at 10 EST 🎯
Miners are no longer scored on isolated predictions — they're scored on their entire belief curve, against what the market itself believed at that moment.
Here's how it works 🧵
The Belief Curve That Front Runs the Price
Numinous is transitioning its entire subnet to pure prediction market questions, scoring the full probability curve instead of just point forecasts, while giving forecasters memory.
Early tests already show that its news only belief cu
https://t.co/iA2BkiSIfI
Today we're opening a beta of something we've been building for institutional clients: a live graph that maps prediction market events straight through to equities.
Every node is a real market with a traded probability, and every edge is a causal link rather than a correlation,
https://t.co/3CiUxNgMRM
𝐌𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐮𝐩𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐞: Numinous is making forecasting agents truly backtestable.
As announced last week, LunarCrush, Unusual Whales, and Public Data Proxies are being removed from the gateway.
Going forward, miners will use Numinous Signals and Numinous Indicia, both of which are back
No other ecosystem has built decentralized AI like Bittensor.
With Bittensor, miner intelligence can become real products, and on Numinous, that product is forecasting intelligence.
Underneath Eversight is a network of miners competing to build the forecasting machinery itself.
SELLERS DRAINED
92%
28D SELLERS EMPTIED OUT
CAPITULATION
+0.54
BOUNCE COMPOSITE (z)
HEAT 7D
0.20×
VOLUME ÷ POOL DEPTH
HOLDERS IN PROFIT
0%
TRACKED WALLETS · ENTRY BELOW PRICE
See who's buying and selling Numinous — every trade classified miner / validator / owner / outsider, plus holder cost basis and the full 23-factor screener.
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